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As world agriculture globalizes, few and large private companies will increasingly control world food supply chains. A handful of multi-nationals not only has the potential to limit farmers' choice on the type of food they produce but can also influence consumers' preferences through massive opinion-forming campaigns.
Two contrasting forces will influence the growth of organic agriculture. On the production side, multinational agrochemical companies, now also providers of patented engineered seeds and breeds, are unlikely to accept the loss of a large share of the inputs market; large investments are already made in campaigns to deter producers and consumers of organic foods.
On the demand side, mega food distribution companies will attempt to guide and mould the organic market to their mass marketing requirements as they have done in the conventional sector. Large retailers have started establishing their own organic standards, based on minimal input substitution requirements, in order to fit the industrial production and distribution model.
However, different factors influence different types of consumers. Large food distributors are realizing that nor all consumers can be expected to spouse the "fast food" culture, neither can all consumers be expected to enter the organic food culture. Within the organic consumer category, there are those who demand organic convenience food (e.g. microwave TV dinner boxes). Most of the demand for organic food, however, is based on minimally processed foods, the rejection of mass-market trends and on increasing fragmentation of markets.
The growth of industrial corporate organic foods is increasingly triggering responses of the organic agriculture community, mainly to maintain the integrity of organic agriculture and the viability of small organic farmers. Local markets, farmers markets, home delivery and community-supported schemes are emerging as alternative marketing strategies for organic agriculture.
The re-discovery and valorization of regional food production and local culinary cultures, coupled with energy concerns, might limit future organic food trade essentially to unprocessed tropical products. In fact, high-energy consumption entailed in international food transport and the likely introduction of "food miles" standards (related to the distance between production areas and markets) for certified organic food might result in the establishment of narrow food chains that will strengthen domestic organic markets.
Both market forces and agriculture and environmental policies will increase the demand and supply for certified organic agriculture products. Increased conversion to organic agriculture will bring appreciable changes in land use and food supply chains. Organic agriculture has the potential to narrow the producer-consumer gap and enhance local food markets. Organic agriculture will result in decreased food surpluses in industrial countries and improved productivity in developing countries.
While organic food prices will decrease if the supply-demand balance changes, they are expected to remain above conventional food prices. In the medium term, the evolution of trade of certified products will depend on the establishment of equivalency of organic agriculture standards. Focusing only on exports is likely to be counter-productive to organic agriculture development and more attention should be paid to the potential of local/domestic organic markets.
Whether certified or not, the requirements set by organic agriculture will result in innovations that could have broad spin-offs. The urge for adhering to high ecological and social standards will produce, in some places, agricultural systems far ahead of the present organic enterprises. Organic agriculture has created a market-based incentive for ecological management. The demand for environmental and societal services will continue to increase and organic agriculture is providing a strong response in this direction.
The requirements set by organic agriculture will result in innovations that could have broad spin-offs.
Pa uloži nešto u stočarstvo i ukini vakcinaciju svinja protiv svinjske kuge pa ćeš onda imati mesa. Đubrad licemernaOna ističe da bi ekonomski efekat bio znatno bolji da se u izvoznom asortimanu našlo više mesa, mleka i proizvoda od tih sirovina.
Ti znaš dal je pouzdano ili ne....Kolko dezinformacija , i onako smo neobrazovani , pa još ovakva filovanja , ako se ovako nastavi postaćemo džamahirija za koju godinu.
@momosaric
uf što je opasna ova slika na avataru
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