Nemoj o tome ovde ali nisi u pravu.
Američke prognoze:
"Најважније процене УСДА С&Д за пшеницу за 2021/22.
Сваког месеца, УС Вхеат Ассоциатес (УСВ) ажурира графички сажетак извештаја УСДА ВАСДЕ (Процене светске пољопривредне понуде и потражње). Извештај укључује факторе глобалног тржишта пшенице, историју извоза главних земаља и региона, као и сажетке понуде и потражње пшенице у САД по класама. Подаци се могу користити без дозволе, али се цени приписивање УСВ и УСДА. Пројекције УСДА-е су подложне променама током године у зависности од времена и других дешавања."
Početkom februara:
Highlights of USDA’s 2021/22 Wheat S&D Estimates
- 2021/22 global wheat production forecast at 776.4 MMT, 2.2 MMT less than January’s forecast
• Production in Brazil is reduced 100,000 MT from January to 7.7 MMT
• Production in Kazakhstan was reduced 190,000 MT from January to 11.81, 17% less than 2020/21
• U.S. production is unchanged from last month at 44.79 MMT, down 10% compared to 2020/21 Global consumption forecast at 788.08 MMT, 610,000 MT more than January
• Domestic consumption in Canada jumped 1.7 MMT from January to 9.6 MMT
• Domestic consumption in North Africa is forecast at 48.02 MMT, up 3% compared to 2020/21
• U.S. domestic consumption forecast slightly lower this month to 30.84 MMT, 130,000 MT less than January World wheat trade adjusted up 2.29 MMT from last month to 206.69 MMT
• Exports from Argentina are increased 500,000 MT to 14 MMT, 11% above the 5-year average
• Ukraine’s exports were reduced 200,000 MT compared to January to 24 MMT, 42% more than 2020/21
• U.S. 2021/22 exports expected to fall 400,000 MT from last month to 22.05 MMT
- World beginning stocks estimated up 1 MMT from January to 289.87 MMT, down 2% from 2020/21
• Argentina’s beginning stocks estimated at 2.12 MMT, 40,000 MT less than January
• World beginning stocks without China are estimated at 145.75 MMT, up 1 MMT from last month
• U.S. 2021/22 beginning stocks expected to drop 18% compared to 2020/21 to 23.0 MMT Global ending stocks projected at 278.21 MMT, down 1.74 MMT compared to USDA’s January estimate and 4% from a year ago • Canada’s ending stocks forecast to fall 2 MMT from January to 3.14 MMT, the lowest on record
• Ukrainian ending stocks forecast at 2.01 MMT, 400,000 MT up from last month
• U.S. ending stocks are revised up 540,000 MT from last month to 17.63 MMT, 5 MMT more than 2020/21 U.S. wheat farm gate price to increase from last year
• Global wheat prices for nearly all major exporters were up, quotes for Canadian wheat were the largest at $22/MT
• The average farm gate price of U.S. wheat in 2021/22 is forecast to increase $0.15 per bushel to $7.30/bu ($268.20/MT) (Предвиђа се да ће просечна улазна цена пшенице у САД на фарми у 2021/22. години порасти од 0,15 долара по бушелу на 7,30 долара по бушелу (268,20 долара/MT)
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Početkom maja:
- 2022/23 global wheat production projected at 774.8 MMT, 3.6 MMT less than 2021/22
• Production in Russia is forecast at 80 MMT, 4.9 MMT more than 2021/22
• Canadian wheat production is projected to rebound 52% to 33 MMT
• Ukraine’s wheat production is projected to fall 11.5 MMT to 21.5 MMT
• Australian production forecast at 30 MMT, down 6.3 MMT from last year
• Wheat production in Argentina projected at 20 MMT, down 2.1 MMT from 2021/22
• U.S. production is forecast up 2.2 MMT compared to last year at 47 MMT in 2022/23 Global consumption forecast at 787.52 MMT, 2% less than the global wheat production estimate in 2022/23
• Domestic consumption in India estimated at 105 MMT, down 2.9 MMT compared to 2022/23
• Domestic consumption expected to grow 150,000 MT in Nigeria, to 6 MMT for 2022/23
• U.S. domestic consumption forecast to fall 440,000 MT to 30.21 MMT in 2022/23 World wheat trade projected at 204.89 MMT, 7% more than the 5-year average
• Exports from Ukraine are expected to fall 4.9 MMT from last year to 10 MMT
• Russia’s exports are projected up 6 MMT to 39 MMT in 2022/23
• Argentina’s exports are projected to fall 1.5 MMT to 14 MMT
• U.S. 2022/23 exports projected down 820,000 MT to 21.09 MMT, 16% below the 5-year average 3 Highlights of USDA’s 2022/23 Wheat S&D Estimates World beginning stocks lowered 11.5 MMT from 2021/22 to 279.72 MMT
• European Union beginning stocks estimated up 2.9 MMT to 13.6 MMT
• China’s beginning stocks estimated at 137.8 MMT, down 6.3 MMT from 2021/22
• U.S. 2022/23 beginning stocks projected at 17.8 MMT, down 23% compared to 2021/22 Global ending stocks expected to be 267 MMT, 5% lower than 2021/22
• Ukraine’s ending stocks forecast at 11.1 MMT, 5.4 MMT more than 2021/22
• Russian ending stocks forecast at 10.6 MMT, 1.4 MMT more than 2021/22
• U.S. ending stocks are forecast at 16.8, down 1 MMT from 2021/22 U.S. wheat farm gate price to increase from last year
• The average farm gate price of U.S. wheat in 2022/23 is forecast to be $10.75 per bushel ($394.95/MT), 65% higher than a year ago (Предвиђа се да ће просечна цена пшенице на фарми у САД у 2022/23. бити 10,75 долара по бушелу (394,95 долара/МТ), 65% више него пре годину дана)
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sa (268,20 долара/MT) na (394,95 долара/МТ),
Za koji dan će izaći prognoza za jun.